The
issues
- There will be approx. 100 new wars between 2010 and 2050; almost all originating in the bottom billion countries. Most of these will be civil wars, and almost all will evolve from the “bottom billion” countries. These will also originate approx. 5,000 acts of terror, kidnappings and piracy until year 2050.
- War between any two uniformed armies will become very rare. Robotic warfare between armies and insurgents, on the other hand, will become increasingly common. Military functions will increasingly be outsourced to private military forces.
- We will get an international legal environment for terror, as already exists for human rights abuses, crime and war.
- USA will remain the world's dominant military power - with a considerable margin
- The great empires by 2050 will not be defined clearly by national borderlines, because they will be virtual, and they will grow organically. By 2050 there will be two such virtual empires: One will be predominantly Chinese, and the other Latin/Germanic/Anglo-Saxon. Many people will feel attachment to both.
